Amazing Tips

The Doctor May Be Looking North

Everyone know that prolific owner Dr Marwan Koukash loves racing at Chester and is always well represented at the meetings there, but although today is no exception, i like the chances of one of his runners which today goes north to Musselburgh.

Gabrial The Duke (Musselburgh 2.35pm) has won plenty over the years and has very good form figures at todays track, winning twice and second on its only other visit. The morning price of 14/1 with Bet365 among others seems to ignore those past performances so my tip today is 2pts Each Way Gabrial The Duke. Hopefully we can resume winning ways!

Long Priced Fancy Today

Well my selection on Tuesday came agonizingly close to making it 6 profitable days on the trot, but was just a neck away in fourth having been gambled in from the morning price of 12/1 to 5/1 co-favourite, so the each way gamble just failed. I was surprised at the price shortening so dramatically – either more people read this than I thought or a lot of people came to the same conclusion as me.

Tonight I have just the one, at Haydock, where David Brown sends Ruby’s Day (Haydock 8.45pm) 1pt EACH WAY and is another big priced each way fancy at 14/1. David has been knocking at the door lately and this one is expected to go close tonight.

Good luck and will hope to have another on Saturday but there will be no tip on Friday.

Can We Make it Six On the Bounce?

Yesterday saw our 5th consecutive winning day when my sole bet Testa Rossa won at Ayr, going off the 7/2 favourite after trading at the advised price of 5/1 or better in the morning. I managed to grab a bit of 11/2 and went in again at 5/1 around lunchtime. Despite the overnight favourite having been Indian Giver, on the day there was a bit of a plunge for Brian Ellison’s Grandest which went off the 11/4 favourite. I had a good look at that one as it was one of the few to have won a race, but its sole success had been at Southwell way back in 2013. I gather the horse has been gambled in the past and not delivered the goods, so despite it now having tumbled down the weights from a high of 82, when trained by John Gosden, to its current mark of 57, I couldn’t back it even with someone else’s money. It did manage to come second, its best run for a while, but a solid four and a half lengths behind my selection which won comfortably back at its preferred trip.

I find it hard to get excited about many of today’s races but am prepared to take a chance on Sylvester Kirk’s Harmony Bay in the 5.15pm at Salisbury. This filly won her maiden on her second start as a 2yo – in a modest class 6 event at Lingfield. Unfortunately the handicapper obviously must have been on the sherry, because he got it into his head that this must be a very decent animal, and bizarrely saddled the filly with a handicap mark of 77, despite her never having performed to that level. Her next outing was in a Class 2 handicap at Doncaster, where she finished an unsurprising 18th of 19, but I’m sure the owners had a good day out, and who can blame them, what else are you going to do with a filly on that mark? Since then she has steadily come down the rankings and is now on a much more workable rating of 60 so looks a more likely candidate to gain her second career success, particularly in view of an encouraging recent 4th place finish at Lingfield off a 3lb higher rating. Totesport, BetFred, William Hill and Ladbrokes all have 12/1 on offer but it may not last long once they have had their morning cappuccinos. Most of the other layers go 10/1 or 11/1, so you should still have no trouble getting on at a double figure price, but don’t hang about. So today’s recommendation is Harmony Bay (5.15pm Salisbury) 1pt EACH WAY at 10/1 or better.

Another Profit on Saturday, Quiet Monday.

Another winner on Saturday with Hurry Home Poppa landing the spoils at Doncaster at the healthy price of 9/2. I advised it at 4/1, so that’s what will go on the stats, but hopefully like me you had a bet with a bookie offering a Best Odds Guarantee. Sadly Exchequer couldn’t land the double for us despite running well and disputing the lead for much of the way, and just finishing fourth despite my belief that it wouldn’t be out of the frame. Can’t be right all the time, though, yet still a profit made on the day.

I said on Saturday that I would have no bet on Sunday, and should have stuck to that, but on discovering that a friend had a runner at Goodwood my interest was aroused, and a couple of phone calls later, I was in the game. This only served to demonstrate two indisputable facts 1.Your gut instincts are seldom wrong, and 2. Owners are the worst people to ask about their horses’ chances. Just be grateful I put nothing on here!

Not much to get excited about on Monday 6th so I am posting this early and will have only one small bet. In line with my usual philosophy it will be in a pretty bad race. I am taking Testa Rossa (Ayr, 3.00pm) to get the better of some fairly undistinguished rivals in a race where only a few have ever been able to get their noses in front. The early market seems to have taken a liking to Indian Giver, on the strength of its 3 length second last time out, but it has not won for a good while and is no certainty to build on that. To be fair, there are two or three other past winners in the race, but not much standout form in the recent past, so I will side with local trainer Jim Goldie to take the spoils with his gelding, who has been pretty consistent over this trip, and has only really run below par when upped to a mile and a half. I will be risking only a small amount, so Testa Rossa (Ayr 3.00pm) 1pt WIN is the bet today at the freely available 5/1.